CH-008 Prospective Test

ETAS comparison · 3 regions

TR
Connecting—
DRY RUN Calculating status Loading score progress.
0/14 days
Latest target day—UTC
Published regions—3 regions
Provisional IGPE—relative to ETAS
Scored events—0 days
CH-008 gain ETAS gain

Daily information gain

Provisional scores

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Waiting for the first score

Region status

Latest publication and catalog snapshot

RegionForecastTargetCatalogProvisionalFinal
PUBLISHED FORECAST ARTIFACTS

Daily spatial forecasts

ETAS and CH-008 cell values published before the target day began.

Region
Layer

Loading forecast

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Difference
Loading map
ETAS higherCH-008 higher
EVENT-WISE LOG RATE RATIO

Daily ETAS–CH-008 scores

Provisional catalog observations and final revisions frozen seven days later.

Target dayRegionRevisionEventsTotal gainIGPEResult
No completed target day yet.
LOCKED BEFORE TEST

Test protocol

The model and catalog contract remain unchanged throughout the run.

Study

Scoring

Primary metric
Event-wise log ratio
Compensator difference
0 · mass preserved
Provisional
First complete daily snapshot
Final
After 7 days

Regions